2016 Pig Spleen Weather Prediction

Forecasts and Accuracy

Gus stated “Environment Canada has thousands of dollars worth of weather instruments and all I have is a $2.00 pig spleen.  I can compete with them and better their accuracy.”
Gus claimed 80-90% accuracy.

Jeff’s (and Gus‘) spleens are obtained from southwest Saskatchewan for prediction purposes.  The forecast is recommended for a 200 mile radius from where the pig was grown.

The forecast this year is based on spleens from the Ear View Hutterite Colony from pigs raised indoors and from Karla and Dustin Sletten which were free range. The free range pigs had much smaller spleens and less fat on them than the “indoor” spleens, and this is what most of the predictions are based on. The 2016 winter will be much milder this year than in previous years, with temperatures tending or regularly above average. Significant fog events in November and December correlate with sleet and possible rain events in February (and perhaps late January). Many of the spleens showed a split in the weather patterns towards spring, signifying that the weather in southwest Saskatchewan will once again be different than the weather in the rest of the province. Spring will be average to dry, giving farmers ample opportunity to seed early and get the crops in the ground. There will be good soil moisture for seeding. The early dry conditions should not cause any reduced germination as there is still allot of moisture in the soil however crops may be stressed early with a lack of moisture.

The first part of January will be mild from Jan 1 to 10 followed by extreme mild until the 13th. From the 13 to 27 (after the full moon), temperatures will be more average with minor snow fall events. Between January 27 and 31, it will be mild with possible sleet or rain event and then it will turn cold at the very end of the month.

The cold weather from January will persist until about Feb 4 when the mild to extreme mild will return. Significant swings in the temperature will continue for the rest of the month with mostly average to above average temperatures. Significant snow, drizzle, and possible rain will take place on Feb 11, 13, 15, 19, 20, 27 and 28.

The first 10 days of March will be average with no significant events taking place and temperatures will be -10 at night and 0 during the day. March 12- 17 will be mild again in the +5 degree range during the day and rain events. Barely freezing temperatures at night from -4 to -6 degrees. March 19 – 21 will see a relative cold snap with a return to freezing however it will not last long and it will return to mild until the end of the month.

The start of April will be cool from 1 to 10 or later with rainfall events during this time. Highs of +5 to +7 and lows of -4. The deviation in the spleens starts on April 10 and persists until the start of June. This shows an uncertainty in the weather from east to west where western Saskatchewan will be mild and dry when the eastern and more northern part of the province will be wetter and cooler in general. From the April 10 to 16 it will be mild again. Daytime highs of 10 to 15 and lows of 3. Colder or below average will return on the 16. This will be much more pronounced in the Eastern part of the province.

The spleen did not show much weather in May other than temperatures noticeably warming on the 10th and dry conditions persisting though to May 27.

Temperatures in June will be average at the start of the month with highs of 20 and lows of 8, and slightly below average between the 7 and 17th. Temperatures will not change significantly but will not warm up during this time as normal. There with some rain around the 14 or 15. June 21 – 30 will be average to slightly above average. Highs of 24 or 25 towards the end of the month and with unseasonably mild evenings.

2016 Interviews